Fed Interest Rate Predictions

Federal Reserve interest rate prediction markets. Trade on Fed policy decisions, rate cuts, and monetary policy outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket.

106 active markets
Updated 3/1/2026, 11:26:57 AM
Query: 3776ms
Polymarket·fed
24h:$5.7Mvol:$191.7Mwill-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-march-2026-meeting
Polymarket·fed
24h:$253Kvol:$3.7Mwill-there-be-no-change-in-fed-interest-rates-after-the-april-2026-meeting
Polymarket·fed

Fed Decision in June?

50%
25 bps decrease
24h:$19Kvol:$665Kwill-the-fed-decrease-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-june-2026-meeting
Polymarket·fed

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

68%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
24h:$273vol:$84Kwill-kevin-warsh-be-confirmed-as-fed-chair-and-will-rates-stay-above-2pt5-in-2026-958
Polymarket·fed

Fed rate cut by...?

59%
June Meeting
24h:$10Kvol:$331Kfed-rate-cut-by-june-2026-meeting
Polymarket·fed

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

86%
Pause–Pause–Pause
24h:$50vol:$31Kwill-the-fed-pausepausepause-in-the-next-three-decisions-janmarapr
Polymarket·fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

39%
Pause–Pause–Pause
24h:$91vol:$14Kwill-the-fed-pausepausepause-in-the-next-three-decisions-maraprjun
Polymarket·fed

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

96%
Cut–Pause–Pause
24h:$15Kvol:$627Kwill-the-fed-cutpausepause-in-the-next-three-decisions-decjanmar